Archive for March, 2014

Poll at the Forum (part 2): under the hood

Posted: 24th March 2014 by admin in Blog

In a previous blog posting I considered that the disparity between the Ipsos Reid and Forum Research results may be due to the methodology in how this polling is done. In this blog I will detail how I arrived at the final result. When we attempt to find a solution that matches the polling results […]

A Poll at the Forum (part 2)

Posted: 2nd March 2014 by seanmathmodelguy in Blog

In part one of this mini-series I talked about where statements like “this poll is considered accurate within 3 percentage points” come from and how it is possible that this is not at odds with the observed variability in the many polling results. For convenience let’s reconsider just how variable these polls are. A mid-November […]